VP: Safe or Gutsy

We are approaching the VP selection time. A few weeks ago, I listed potential VPs and their pros and cons. Now that we are nearing the selections, here are my "safe" picks and "gutsy" picks. "Safe" means the selection won't be a detriment to the campaign. It would maintain the status quo of the election, bringing little risk. The "gutsy" pick, if it worked, would ensure victory, but if it didn't, it would adversely affect the campaign in such a way that could cause a huge defeat.

For Obama:
Safe Pick: Sen. Evan Bayh, Indiana. He is my top choice for Obama. Bayh was a Clinton supporter, he's well-liked in Indiana , he has some foreign policy experience as well as governing experience, he's a moderate on many issues. I really think Bayh would be the best choice. In fact, I think he would have been the best choice for the presidential nomination among Democrats, however, Iraq hurt him. He was pro-Iraq war and is more conservative than Obama on most issues; however, as frequently as Obama seems to be amending his positions, it may not be long before he agrees with Bayh on most issues - at least for a while anyway. Bayh's support of the Iraq war may cost him the nomination.

Gutsy Pick: Gov. Tim Kaine, Virginia. Kaine has little experience, is not well known outside of Virginia, and doesn't have near the charisma that Obama has, but if he were selected, he would strengthen the "outside of Washington" aspect of the ticket as well as help bring in Catholic voters (Kaine is Catholic) and Hispanic voters (he speaks fluent Spanish). If Kaine could also deliver Virginia to the Democratic column, Obama would be the next president. However, if experience and foreign policy become major issues, Obama/Kaine would have little to offer and may lose big.

My pick: Bayh.

For McCain
Safe Pick: Gov. Tim Pawlenty, Minnesota. I find this an incredibly boring, but safe pick. Pawlenty re-affirms McCain's desire to reach independents and broaden the Republican party without flash or pizazz that could get the candidate in trouble (except for some of his jokes.) Pawlenty may not be able to deliver Minnesota to the Republicans, but he would shore up other Midwest states, I believe, and give McCain a decent shot at winning. Incredibly safe pick.

Gutsy Pick: Gov. Sarah Palin, Alaska. Strong Pro-Life, Strong Family Values, Anti-Corruption, Reformer, Outsider. If Palin were McCain's VP, she could help bring in upset Clinton supporters while also exciting the conservative base. McCain could win in a landslide if Palin is embraced by the public. The risk - she's governor of Alaska and little known as to how she would perform on the national stage. She runs the risk of being Quayled. Also, with McCain's age, would she be seen by the public as ready to be president? A "safer-gutsy" pick would be Kay Bailey Hutchison. While she could appeal to the Clinton supporter, I'm not sure she would excite the conservative base as much as Palin. And she's not the most exciting person to listen to either.

My Pick: Palin